OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
 
 
Friend to Foe Eritrean-Ethiopian Dispute
African Security, Conflict Trends & Forecasting, Political Conflict

From Friends to Foes (to Friends Again): Leadership Change and the Peaceful Settlement of the Eritrean-Ethiopian Dispute

August 16, 2018

Ethiopian and Eritrean governments have finally agreed to settle their two decade old border dispute that has led to the deaths of over 80,000 people 

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Emmerson Mnangagwa and Nelson Chamisa Zimbabwe presidential election

International Elections and Leaders: August 2018 Update

The 2018 Zimbabwe presidential election featured 23 candidates but was contested mainly by Emmerson Mnangagwa and Nelson Chamisa. Emmerson Mnangagwa was proclaimed the winner by the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission on Thursday, August 2nd.
African leads small arms control

Stemming the Tide: African Leadership in Small Arms and Light Weapons Control

African leaders have intensified their efforts to speak out about the illicit transfer of small arms and light weapons (SALW) and their multifaceted effects across Africa.

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup

CoupCast

The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Datasets

Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

 

Terrorist Insurgent Dataset

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS) V2

TIOS V2 gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

 

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

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