OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
 
 
mugabe loses to military
Forecasting, CoupCast

Mugabe: An Unlikely End

November 16, 2017

The coup was precipitated by a succession struggle within the government.  It is believed that Mugabe was paving the way for his wife to take over. 

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Zimbabwe Democracy

The Zimbabwean Coup: Is There Hope for Democracy?

Coups are relatively rare now, but back in the 1960s and 1970s there were years when over a dozen coups occurred, mostly in Sub Saharan Africa. 
Zimbabwe Coup

Understanding Zimbabwe’s Coup

To understand the current crisis in Zimbabwe, one needs to understand the role of state-led violence and patronage as central to ensuring state legitimacy.

International Elections and Leaders: November 2017 Update

November's REIGN update addresses the election re-run and the turmoil accompanying it in Kenya, as well as updates on October's elections in Austria, the Czech Republic, Liberia, Kyrgyzstan, Kenya, Iceland, and Japan. In November, elections will be held in Chile, Honduras, Nepal, and Liberia. 

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup

CoupCast

The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Datasets

Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

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