OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
 
 
Ballots counted in Haiti
Forecasting, CoupCast

Will 2017 End Without a Single Coup Attempt?

May 23, 2017

There are plenty of reasons to be pessimistic about the future of international affairs in mid-2017. But here's one reason to be optimistic.

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Political Scientists Show that UN Peacekeeping Works, But Not Without Cost

Research on peacekeeping has revealed that peacekeeping has several benefits. However, there is also a relationship between peacekeeping and sexual abuse and exploitation. 
French Elections Rulers Update

International Elections and Leaders: May 2017 Update

Tensions in Europe remain high amid multiple electoral processes set to shape the future of the European Union. The first round of the French presidential election was held on April 23 and a run-off is scheduled for May 7.

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup

CoupCast

The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Datasets

Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

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