OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
Conflict Trends & Forecasting, Political Conflict, CoupCast

Violence and Votes: Do Coups Follow Coups?

April 24, 2018

This is the fourth post in a five-part, weekly series on elections in dictatorships. Visit our CoupCast site for information about our REIGN database and previous commentary on coups d’état.

Read More
Augusto Pinochet, dicatator of Chile, stepped down in 1990 after losing an election.

Violence and Votes: When Dictators Lose Elections

This is the third post in a five-part, weekly series on elections in dictatorships.
UN peacekeeper on patrol, part of missions to protect from violence against civilians

Peace Enforcement and the Geography of Rebel Violence Against Civilians

To determine where United Nations funds are best used to protect civilians, we must understand where violence most frequently occurs within a conflict zone.

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup


The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

OEF Research On Twitter