News & Events

Ukrainian soldier after ceasefire

March 20, 2017

U.S. Policy and Civil War in Ukraine: What Will it Take to Reach Peace?

Political Conflict

In a turn of events, the Trump administration has recently stressed that Russia must de-escalate violence in Ukraine and be held accountable for Crimea. The Russian government quickly responded, saying it doesn’t... more

March 16, 2017

Curtis Bell Presents Forecasting Research at the United Nations

Forecasting, CoupCast

Dr. Curtis Bell presented the work being done by the OEF Research forecasting project at the United Nations on Wednesday March 7. The talk was hosted by the UN Department of Political Affairs and included attendees from several UN departments, including the Department of Peacekeeping Operations and the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia. Dr.

March 06, 2017

OEF Research Associate Named Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist

Business & Governance

The head of OEF Research's Business & Governance track, Dr. Victor Odundo Owuor, has earned the Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist (CAMS) designation.

Somali Elections

March 01, 2017

International Elections and Leaders: March 2017 Update

Forecasting, REIGN DATASET: International Elections and Leaders, Political Institutions, Political Conflict

After a quiet January, international elections are starting to ramp up around the world. This month, Somalia held its most extensive democratic election in the country’s history.

Research on life expectancy

February 22, 2017

OEF Research Fellow Describes Implications of Life Expectancy Study

Evolution, Cooperation, and Conflict

OEF Fellow in Evolution and Governance Dr. Daniel Brian Krupp was recently interviewed about the implications of a study on life expectancy.

Forecasting election conflict at the State Department

February 22, 2017

OEF Forecasters Present at the U.S. State Department

Forecasting, CoupCast

Two members of the OEF Research forecasting team, Dr. Curtis Bell and Dr. Stefan Wojcik, presented research at the United States Department of State on Wednesday Feb. 15. The talk, hosted by the Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations (CSO), focused on OEF Research’s efforts... more

Refugees and US National Security

February 20, 2017

Fact Sheet: Refugees and U.S. National Security

Political Conflict

This fact sheet provides an overview of the US refugee admittance process and the current research on the threat posed to US national security by refugees.

February 15, 2017

Natural Disasters and Conflict Resolution: What Can International Actors Do?

Political Conflict

Natural disasters affect more than the physical infrastructure in areas they hit. They also impact social and political dynamics. In situations of active armed conflict, this raises a question: can a disaster change the dynamics of conflict and provide an opportunity for peace?