News & Events

October 18, 2016

Women Demand Inclusion in Peace and Security Efforts

Gender & Security

BROOMFIELD, Colorado—According to a recent report from OEF Research and Inclusive Security, women are pressuring governments around the world to include them more in building and maintaining peace in their countries.

Former Brazil President Dilma Rousseff

October 14, 2016

What is a Coup d’État?

Forecasting, Political Institutions, Political Conflict, CoupCast

For every successful or attempted coup d'état there are dozens if not hundreds of events that are described as such.

President Jacob Zuma with Congolese President Joseph Kabila at the People’s Palace in Kinshasa. (Photo: GCIS)

September 30, 2016

Discussing Political Inclusion in the DRC

Political Institutions, Political Conflict

In an article for Political Violence @ a Glance, OEF Researcher Jay Benson discusses how delays in scheduling planned elections in the DRC have recently led to incidents of violence. While President Joseph Kabila's government has often met political opposition with violent repression, it... more

Data forecasting political instability

September 29, 2016

Using Data to Predict Political Instability

Forecasting, Political Institutions, CoupCast

OEF Research Associate Curtis Bell will participate in this year’s meeting of the Peace Science Society at the University of Notre Dame, where he will lead roundtable sessions on predicting future political instability using forecast modeling. OEF Research hopes to learn from these sessions how forecasting models can best inform and... more

Asssessing Drought Damage in Ethiopia - Photo by Eurpean Commission DGE echo

September 29, 2016

What International Donors Should Know About Drought and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

Political Conflict

Some argue that climate change effects pose one of the greatest risks for political violence, and others argue there is no relationship whatsoever. A new study shows that there is gray area between the two sides, and offers policy implications for international donors. 

September 16, 2016

The Power of Networks in Maritime Security: What the Fight Against Piracy Can Teach Us About Irregular Migration

Political Institutions

Addressing the developing crisis around irregular migration by sea will require international institutions to work quickly to address the humanitarian, practical, and legal challenges posed by irregular migration.

Riot Police in Turkey

August 12, 2016

Turkey’s Repression Could Spread to Its Neighbors

Forecasting, Political Institutions, Political Conflict, CoupCast

Repression is an often overlooked consequence of coup attempts, say Jonathan Powell and OEF's Curtis Bell in their recent post on the Washington Post's Monkey Cage blog. Turkey's recent coup attempt prompted a government crackdown on its political opponents and the flow of public information.

Predicting and Timing of Coup Attempts

August 02, 2016

Turkey's Coup Attempt Was a Surprise, but for Surprising Reasons

Forecasting, Political Institutions, CoupCast

The recent coup attempt in Turkey was widely unexpected. However, coup attempts are not uncommon in democracies. There are a couple other reasons that this coup attempt was so surprising, given the context in which it occurred.

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