News & Events

Research on life expectancy

February 22, 2017

OEF Research Fellow Describes Implications of Life Expectancy Study

Evolution, Cooperation, and Conflict

OEF Fellow in Evolution and Governance Dr. Daniel Brian Krupp was recently interviewed about the implications of a study on life expectancy.

Forecasting election conflict at the State Department

February 22, 2017

OEF Forecasters Present at the U.S. State Department

Forecasting, CoupCast

Two members of the OEF Research forecasting team, Dr. Curtis Bell and Dr. Stefan Wojcik, presented research at the United States Department of State on Wednesday Feb. 15. The talk, hosted by the Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations (CSO), focused on OEF Research’s efforts... more

February 15, 2017

Natural Disasters and Conflict Resolution: What Can International Actors Do?

Political Conflict

Natural disasters affect more than the physical infrastructure in areas they hit. They also impact social and political dynamics. In situations of active armed conflict, this raises a question: can a disaster change the dynamics of conflict and provide an opportunity for peace?

February 10, 2017

Non-State Actors Solving the World’s Most Difficult Problems

Political Institutions

From think tanks and foundations, to businesses and other civil society groups, non-state actors are seeking to solve some of the world’s most difficult problems.

French Elections

February 10, 2017

French Socialist Party’s Chances of Winning Aren’t Good

Political Institutions, Political Conflict

OEFR Researcher, Stefan Wojcik and colleagues wrote a blog post for the Monkey Cage about the chances of a victory for the incumbent Socialist Party in France.

February 10, 2017

"Why Govern?" Report Launch: Why Governments Choose to Join Global Systems

Political Institutions

Tsinghua University in Beijing China is hosting a launch of the report “Why Govern?” and the book of the same name edited by former OEF Research Fellow Amitav Acharya.

Voter Polling Predictions

February 03, 2017

Improving Election Prediction Internationally

Forecasting, Political Institutions

A new study, by a team of researchers that includes OEF's Data Scientist, found that despite recent criticism, national election polls remain a strong indicator of election outcomes.

Newly Elected President Adama Barrow Returns to Gambia - Photo by Andrew Renneisen/Getty Images

February 01, 2017

REIGN Dataset: February 2017 Updates

Forecasting, REIGN DATASET: International Elections and Leaders, Political Institutions, Political Conflict

January had an empty election calendar and we recorded no new elections or referendums. However, we saw multiple long-running political crises resolve this month.