Publication List

From comprehensive reports to discussion papers and briefs, OEF Research addresses the notion of peace through good governance by empirical research and analysis aimed at informing policymakers and inspiring change.
Threat of World War

THE ENDURING THREAT OF A LARGE INTERSTATE WAR

Written by Aaron Clauset on September 20, 2017

Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the preceding 30 years. The implications of this pattern, sometimes called “the Long Peace,” remain highly controversial. Is this an enduring trend toward peace? Or is it temporary, representing a fluctuation within an otherwise stable system of conflict?

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women's rights and civil society in the Philippines

Advancing Women's Rights in Davao City, Philippines: The Role of Local Civil Society

Written by Kelsey Coolidge on June 6, 2017

Civil society actors play an influential role in supporting human rights. While the literature on this topic tends to focus on human rights activity at the national level, civil society organizations (CSOs) also operate at the local level to advance human rights. The advancement of women’s rights is a particularly good example of this.

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Climate-Induced Migration and Instability: The Role of City Governments

Written by Ambika Chawla on June 5, 2017

Trends in urbanization and climate change are altering the nature of human settlements. As the number and impact of severe weather events increases, countries and cities are forced to cope. The limited governance mechanisms and financial constraints of many developing cities restrain capacity for dealing with complex urban problems.

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Stable Seas: Somali Waters

Written by Curtis Bell, Ben Lawellin on May 1, 2017

This report shows how complex issues like illegal fishing, coastal violence, and human trafficking intersect to create a uniquely insecure maritime environment in Somali waters. Regional conflicts have shifted human migration flows, and this has further accelerated the smuggling of both trafficked persons and arms across the Gulf of Aden.

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Multi-stakeholder Collaboration Fact Sheet

Fact Sheet: Multi-stakeholder Collaboration

Written by Kelsey Coolidge, Conor Seyle, OEF Research on April 20, 2017

This guide was produced by the Stanley Foundation in collaboration with the Stimson Center. It reviews findings from a seven week consultation process with eighty-two professionals working in global governance.

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Firm Behavior in Fragile States: The Cases of Somaliland, South Sudan, and Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo

Written by Victor Odundo Owuor on March 29, 2017

This report, based on field research, documents which features of business work in fragile areas and how businesses operate in regard to strategy, contract enforcement, and other aspects of firm behavior.

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Refugees and National Security

Fact Sheet: Refugees and U.S. National Security

Written by Kelsey Coolidge, Conor Seyle, OEF Research on February 24, 2017

This fact sheet provides an overview of the US refugee admittance process and the current research on the threat posed to US national security by refugees.

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Improving Election Prediction Internationally

Written by Ryan Kennedy, David Lazer, Stefan Wojcik on February 3, 2017

Assumptions underlying election result predictions have been encountering wide criticism. This study, published in the journal Science, reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a variety of countries from globally pooled data.

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