THE ENDURING THREAT OF A LARGE INTERSTATE WARWritten by on September 20, 2017
Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the preceding 30 years. The implications of this pattern, sometimes called “the Long Peace,” remain highly controversial. Is this an enduring trend toward peace? Or is it temporary, representing a fluctuation within an otherwise stable system of conflict?
Advancing Women's Rights in Davao City, Philippines: The Role of Local Civil SocietyWritten by on June 6, 2017
Civil society actors play an influential role in supporting human rights. While the literature on this topic tends to focus on human rights activity at the national level, civil society organizations (CSOs) also operate at the local level to advance human rights. The advancement of women’s rights is a particularly good example of this.
Climate-Induced Migration and Instability: The Role of City GovernmentsWritten by on June 5, 2017
Trends in urbanization and climate change are altering the nature of human settlements. As the number and impact of severe weather events increases, countries and cities are forced to cope. The limited governance mechanisms and financial constraints of many developing cities restrain capacity for dealing with complex urban problems.
Stable Seas: Somali WatersWritten by on May 1, 2017
This report shows how complex issues like illegal fishing, coastal violence, and human trafficking intersect to create a uniquely insecure maritime environment in Somali waters. Regional conflicts have shifted human migration flows, and this has further accelerated the smuggling of both trafficked persons and arms across the Gulf of Aden.
Firm Behavior in Fragile States: The Cases of Somaliland, South Sudan, and Eastern Democratic Republic of CongoWritten by on March 29, 2017
This report, based on field research, documents which features of business work in fragile areas and how businesses operate in regard to strategy, contract enforcement, and other aspects of firm behavior.
Improving Election Prediction InternationallyWritten by on February 3, 2017
Assumptions underlying election result predictions have been encountering wide criticism. This study, published in the journal Science, reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a variety of countries from globally pooled data.