Some argue that climate change effects pose one of the greatest risks for political violence, and others argue there is no relationship whatsoever. A new study shows that there is gray area between the two sides, and offers policy implications for international donors.
Conflict brought on by scarcity of resources does occur, under very specific circumstances.
International donors must prioritize adaptation projects and be sensitive to the risks of political violence as they relate to extreme weather events.
Violent civil conflict in sub-Saharan Africa has been more likely after severe drought in middle-income countries than in the poorest states.
International donors should consider local and traditional adaptation strategies, which can reduce conflict risks during severe weather.
Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the preceding 30 years. The implications of this pattern, sometimes called “the Long Peace,” remain highly controversial. Is this an enduring trend toward peace
This guide was produced by the Stanley Foundation in collaboration with the Stimson Center. It reviews findings from a seven week consultation process with eighty-two professionals working in global governance.
Written byCurtis Bell, Patrick W. Keyson August 15, 2016
Few cross-national studies provide evidence of a relationship between environmental scarcity and conflict, although much of the literature claims that destabilizing effects of environmental crises can be mitigated by the right sociopolitical