OEF Research views political conflict as symptomatic of a breakdown in governance. We take an inclusive view of political conflict by examining many forms, including interstate war, civil war, terrorism, government repression, rebellion, and protest. Similar across all modes of political conflict is that the parties resort to disruptive and sometimes violent tactics as a strategic choice toward some political end. OEF Research explores a myriad of issues about this process, such as how actors end up in conflict (root causes), conflict dynamics, peace negotiations, the international community’s role in preventing or encouraging conflict, the role of non-state actors during and after conflict, and how political institutions can be used to consolidate peace.
On the Brink of Civil War, Tunisians Averted Crisis. How They Did It and Why It Matters.
To Achieve Peace, Colombians Must Get Beyond the Victim and Perpetrator Narrative
Daniel Brian Krupp, OEF Research Fellow argues that morality isn't a compass but, more of a subconscious calculator.
Climate Change Causes Conflict? Climate Change Doesn’t Matter? Don’t Rush to Conclusions Either Way
Alternative Facts and Unconscious Bias: How We are Less Rational than We Think
OEF Research on Charged Affairs Blog: What Will It Take to Bring Peace in Ukraine?
International Elections and Leaders: March 2017 Update
OEF Research Fellow Describes Implications of Life Expectancy Study
Natural Disasters and Conflict Resolution: What Can International Actors Do?
REIGN Dataset: February 2017 Updates
Dr. Conor Seyle to Participate in Bridging the Gap Workshop
REIGN Dataset: January 2017 Updates
Participants at One Earth Future Forum Set Sights on a World Without War
What Violence Prevention Can Learn from Public Health Campaigns
THE ENDURING THREAT OF A LARGE INTERSTATE WARAaron Clauset Written by Aaron Clauset on September 20, 2017
Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the preceding 30 years. The implications of this pattern, sometimes called “the Long Peace,” remain highly controversial. Is this an enduring trend toward peace
Climate-Induced Migration and Instability: The Role of City GovernmentsAmbika Chawla Written by Ambika Chawla on June 5, 2017
Trends in urbanization and climate change are altering the nature of human settlements. As the number and impact of severe weather events increases, countries and cities are forced to cope.
Fact Sheet: Multi-stakeholder CollaborationWritten by Kelsey Coolidge, Conor Seyle, OEF Research on April 20, 2017
This guide was produced by the Stanley Foundation in collaboration with the Stimson Center. It reviews findings from a seven week consultation process with eighty-two professionals working in global governance.
What International Donors Should Know About Drought and Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaWritten by Curtis Bell on September 29, 2016
Some argue that climate change effects pose one of the greatest risks for political violence, and others argue there is no relationship whatsoever.
Conditional Relationships Between Drought and Civil Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaWritten by Curtis Bell, Patrick W. Keys on August 15, 2016
Few cross-national studies provide evidence of a relationship between environmental scarcity and conflict, although much of the literature claims that destabilizing effects of environmental crises can be mitigated by the right sociopolitical
After the Release: The Long-Term Behavioral Impact of Piracy on Seafarers and FamiliesWritten by Conor Seyle, Chirag Bahri, Kellie Brandt, Alexander Dimitrievich, Karina Fernandez, Tom Holmer, Niyati Malhotra on June 24, 2016
More than 3,000 seafarers have been held hostage by Somali pirates since 2001, with a significant, but unknown, number of seafarers kidnapped in other parts of the world.