OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
 
 
A Tanzanian woman holds her phone displaying an app project that harness the power of digital tools and data-driven decision making. Photo: Riaz Jahanpour for USAID Tanzania / Digital Development Communications.
African Security, Business & Governance

Using Artificial Intelligence as a Means of Improving Business Lending in Fragile States

May 5, 2020

New research suggests artificial intelligence could be the key to enabling enterprise lending in fragile and conflict-affected states.

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Access to Somali Loans

New Report Tracks Links Between Development, Violence, and Local Economies

A new report on local economies and conflict examines the relationship between violence and economic activity in Somalia.
Block Chain Helping Governments in Fragile States

Is Blockchain an Answer to Enterprise Development in Fragile States?

OEF Research examines how blockchain can be particularly useful to enterprises in fragile and conflict-affected states, helping them overcome their lack of 20th century legacy systems and allowing them to l

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup

CoupCast

The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Datasets

Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

 

Terrorist Insurgent Dataset

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS) V2

TIOS V2 gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

 

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

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