Publication List

From comprehensive reports to discussion papers and briefs, OEF Research addresses the notion of peace through good governance by empirical research and analysis aimed at informing policymakers and inspiring change.
Block Chain Helping Governments in Fragile States

Is Blockchain an Answer to Enterprise Development in Fragile States?

Written by Dianna E. Almanza, Victor Odundo Owuor on December 20, 2019

In an increasingly networked and digital world in which millions of transactions are recorded daily, the potential of data tampering in centralized ledgers that are the primary depository of these records can not be overemphasized. To partially confront this challenge, distributed ledger technologies such as blockchain are growing in global use.

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Private Sector Peace Building - Political Conflict

Private Sector Peacebuilding: A Review of Past Cases and Lessons Learned

Written by Conor Seyle, Jinghong Wang on November 25, 2019

This report reviews a dozen case studies of business engagement in peacebuilding across a variety of private sector actors, strategies, and time.

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women and nonviolent campaigns policy brief

Women’s Participation and The Fate Of Nonviolent Campaigns | Policy Brief

Written by Conor Seyle, Sahana Dharmapuri on September 30, 2019

This research examines the effects of women’s representation in resistance movements on their choice of strategies and movement effectiveness.  The Women in Resistance (WiRe) data set is the first attempt to assess resistance movements on the degree to which they incorporate women into their political goals, their memberships, and their leadership.&n

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 Women’s Participation and Nonviolent Campaigns

Women’s Participation and The Fate Of Nonviolent Campaigns | Report

on September 30, 2019

This research examines the effects of women’s representation in resistance movements on their choice of strategies and movement effectiveness.  The Women in Resistance (WiRe) data set is the first attempt to assess resistance movements on the degree to which they incorporate women into their political goals, their memberships, and their leadership.&n

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Investing in Somalia - Business Risk

Risky Business: Assessing the Success of Investments in Somalia

Written by Eric Keels on August 1, 2019

Drawing on data from One Earth Future’s Shuraako program, this report assesses the relationship between direct funding, proximity to violence, and proximity to international funding on the income of businesses in Somalia. 

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social media fragile states

Unpacking Social Media Use in Stabilization Efforts

Written by Dianna E. Almanza, Victor Odundo Owuor on July 1, 2019

The growing discomfort with how large social media platforms can be a tool for fueling real-world violence and empowering autocratic behavior often masks an equally important narrative: social media can be a source of good, especially in fragile states.

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2019 Report on Risk of Coup

Annual Risk of Coup Report - 2019

Written by Matthew Frank, Clayton Besaw, Jay Benson, Jonathan Powell, Eric Keels on April 26, 2019

The goals of this first ever Annual Risk of Coup Report are two-fold. First, it provides an in-depth global and regional look at the likelihood of coup events for 2019 based on a combination of quantitative forecasting and qualitative analysis of specific coup-prone states.

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Recent Trends in Civil War Dynamics

Reassessing Rebellion

Written by Jay Benson, Joshua Lambert, Eric Keels on March 15, 2019

Though historically the number of armed conflicts has been declining, there has been a recent surge in ongoing civil wars. Intrastate armed conflicts therefore represent a persistent and dangerous threat to global stability. Breaking from past studies, our report examines recent trends in civil war dynamics.

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