Improving Election Prediction InternationallyWritten by Ryan Kennedy, David Lazer, Stefan Wojcik on February 3, 2017
Assumptions underlying election result predictions have been encountering wide criticism. This study, published in the journal Science, reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a variety of countries from globally pooled data.
How Business Can Support the Responsibility to ProtectWritten by Conor Seyle on November 29, 2016
A major contribution to the prevention and cessation of mass atrocities was the development of the “Responsibility to Protect” as a formal commitment by United Nations member states. Known as R2P, the principle affirmed member states’ commitment under international law to prevent and stop atrocities within their own borders and elsewhere.
The Kenyan private sector's role in mass atrocity prevention, cessation, and recoveryWritten by Victor Odundo Owuor, Patrick Obath on November 4, 2016
There are numerous examples of ways in which the business sector has been and continues to be involved in activities that lead to mass atrocity crimes.
The Role of Business in the Responsibility to ProtectWritten by Conor Seyle, John J. Forrer on November 4, 2016
In 2005 the member states of the UN committed to preventing and stopping the mass atrocity crimes of genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes against humanity. This commitment was formally called the “Responsibility to Protect” (R2P), and it clarified states' obligations under international law to stop and prevent these atrocities.&nb
From Global Promise to National Action: Advancing Women, Peace, and Security in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Philippines, Serbia, and Sierra LeoneWritten by Alexandra Amling, Marie O'Reilly on October 18, 2016
This report is also available in French. Affichez le rapport en français.
What International Donors Should Know About Drought and Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaWritten by Curtis Bell on September 29, 2016
Some argue that climate change effects pose one of the greatest risks for political violence, and others argue there is no relationship whatsoever. A new study shows that there is gray area between the two sides, and offers policy implications for international donors.
The Power of Networks in Maritime Security: What the Fight Against Piracy Can Teach Us About Irregular MigrationWritten by Conor Seyle, Jens Vestergaard Madsen on September 16, 2016
Addressing the developing crisis around irregular migration by sea will require international institutions to work quickly to address the humanitarian, practical, and legal challenges posed by irregular migration. Applying lessons learned from the effective international response to maritime piracy off the coast of Somalia may allow for internationa
Conditional Relationships Between Drought and Civil Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaWritten by Curtis Bell, Patrick W. Keys on August 15, 2016
Few cross-national studies provide evidence of a relationship between environmental scarcity and conflict, although much of the literature claims that destabilizing effects of environmental crises can be mitigated by the right sociopolitical conditions.